Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 62.034891 70.387142 78.973170 88.426224 98.509651 108.913627 120.429727
2025-06-15 50.011402 62.021711 74.968618 89.826448 106.276908 123.815700 143.813408
2025-06-22 43.016061 57.074082 72.767540 91.305754 112.346430 135.253388 161.853135
2025-06-29 36.421158 51.639977 69.207179 90.515757 115.236271 142.636218 174.942098
2025-07-06 30.411315 46.169073 64.978839 88.383097 116.093441 147.309554 184.614911
2025-07-13 28.140683 44.990423 65.608650 91.733255 123.104466 158.835761 201.923004
2025-07-20 25.598700 43.178312 65.237456 93.691667 128.327734 168.190261 216.664167
2025-07-27 22.388454 40.165941 63.113950 93.297046 130.573297 173.944284 227.143511
2025-08-03 19.439674 37.215552 60.838548 92.516375 132.191574 178.835276 236.516668
2025-08-10 17.362479 35.287520 59.739659 93.086227 135.353628 185.478889 247.885144
2025-08-17 15.103014 32.863475 57.806453 92.445873 136.909667 190.118915 256.825980
2025-08-24 13.405566 31.117673 56.669904 92.736520 139.547075 196.004123 267.203807
2025-08-31 11.441627 28.764376 54.573601 91.696687 140.488336 199.852709 275.213302
2025-09-07 10.365568 27.759551 54.326881 93.082687 144.491905 207.438747 287.724876
2025-09-14 9.433835 26.895887 54.215283 94.600172 148.629616 215.170122 300.404692
2025-09-21 8.031728 25.015189 52.475848 93.792459 149.688912 219.047517 308.381875
2025-09-28 6.498090 22.650221 49.842336 91.614972 148.860434 220.501777 313.349385
2025-10-05 6.273220 22.847233 51.178734 95.035611 155.417601 231.215341 329.665980
2025-10-12 5.788308 22.444935 51.532435 97.034748 160.079686 239.547364 343.070558
2025-10-19 4.915105 21.077531 50.256098 96.631950 161.496258 243.757207 351.385895
2025-10-26 4.079127 19.632562 48.757221 95.835062 162.332119 247.195509 358.724089
2025-11-02 3.544092 18.799515 48.223248 96.416757 165.007078 252.962224 368.943855
2025-11-09 2.902876 17.550421 46.897628 95.763092 165.958189 256.496142 376.369391